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| 2001-03
State General Fund Revenue Forecast |
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General
Fund Revenue Forecast
($
in millions)
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Change
from Close-of-Session |
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2001
Close of Session |
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2001
December |
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Amount |
Percent |
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Beginning
Balance |
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$
412.7 |
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$
358.8 |
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$
-53.9 |
-13.1% |
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Plus:
Revenue |
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Personal
Income Tax |
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9,445.3 |
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8,969.6 |
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-475.7 |
-5.0% |
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Corporate
Income Tax |
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859.5 |
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667.7 |
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-191.9 |
-22.3% |
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Other |
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750.1 |
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751.4 |
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+1.3 |
+0.2% |
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Total
Resources |
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11,467.7 |
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10,747.5 |
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-720.1 |
-6.3% |
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Less:
Expenditures |
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11,371.2 |
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11,371.2 |
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-0- |
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Ending
Balance |
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$
96.4 |
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$
(623.7) |
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$
-720.1 |
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Oregon's
Economic Outlook: |
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- "Employment
growth...essentially flat for 2001."
- "Manufacturing
will sharply decline in 2001..."
- "Lumber and wood
products are projected to be down..."
- "The sector that
contains semiconductors, electrical machinery...several
quarters of negative growth projected."
- "Trade job
growth will remain relatively weak..."
- "Population
growth... slower than the growth experienced in the
mid-1990s."
- "Per capita
income...below the U.S. average in 2001 and 2002."
- "The major risks
now facing the Oregon economy are: another sharp and major
stock market correction; further increases in inflation;
regional energy prices; the slowing U.S. economy; consumer
confidence; and a slower than anticipated recovery for
semiconductors, software and communications."
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Source: December 2001
Oregon Economic and Revenue Forecast, Department of Administrative
Services, Office of Economic Analysis |
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